Cincinnati
W-L: ( 7- 2) PR = 76.5760Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Nebraska B10 ( 6- 3, 73.8) 17-20 906 H Bowl. Green MIDA ( 3- 6, 58.1) 34-20 913 H NW State 70- 0 927 A Kansas B12 ( 5- 4, 74.7) 37-34 1004 H Iowa St B12 ( 4- 4, 78.2) 38-30 1011 H UCF B12 ( 3- 5, 66.9) 20-11 1018 A Oklahoma St B12 ( 2- 7, 61.7) 49-17 1025 H Baylor B12 ( 4- 5, 71.2) 41-20 1101 A Utah B12 ( 7- 2, 91.9) 14-45 1115 H Arizona B12 ( 5- 3, 80.4) 1122 H BYU B12 ( 8- 0, 88.6) 1129 A TCU B12 ( 6- 2, 81.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 H Nebraska 17-20 -3 7 --- -9.67
906 H Bowl. Green 34-20 14 22 --- -6.00
927 A Kansas 37-34 3 -2 ++ 5.03
1004 H Iowa St 38-30 8 2 ++ 5.69
1011 H UCF 20-11 9 14 -- -4.64
1018 A Oklahoma St 49-17 32 11 +++ 9.01
1025 H Baylor 41-20 21 9 +++ 10.69
1101 A Utah 14-45 -31 -19 -0.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 828 H Nebraska 17-20 -3 7 --- -9.67 906 H Bowl. Green 34-20 14 22 --- -6.00 1011 H UCF 20-11 9 14 -- -4.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 A Oklahoma St 49-17 32 11 +++ 9.01 1025 H Baylor 41-20 21 9 +++ 10.69 927 A Kansas 37-34 3 -2 ++ 5.03 1004 H Iowa St 38-30 8 2 ++ 5.69 |
Cincinnati Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Col ` | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| California | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Clemson | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Duke | Duke | Duke | ||
| Florida St | Florida St | Florida St | ||
| Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech | ||
| Louisville | Louisville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Louisville | |
| Miami | Miami | Miami | ||
| UNC | Cincinnati | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| NC St | NC St | NC St | ||
| Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | ||
| SMU | SMU | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | SMU | |
| Stanford | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Syracuse | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Virginia | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Va Tech | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Wake Forest | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Army | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Charlotte | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | Ea Carolina | ||
| Fla Atlantic | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Memphis | Memphis | Memphis | ||
| Navy | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| No Texas | No Texas | No Texas | ||
| Rice | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| So Florida | So Florida | So Florida | ||
| Temple | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Tulane | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Tulsa | Cincinnati | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| UAB | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| UTSA | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Arizona | Arizona | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Arizona | |
| Arizona St | Arizona St | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Arizona St | |
| BYU | BYU | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | BYU | |
| Baylor | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado | Cincinnati | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| Houston | Cincinnati | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Iowa St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Kansas | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Kansas St | Kansas St | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Kansas St | |
| Oklahoma St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| TCU | TCU | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | TCU | |
| Texas Tech | Texas Tech | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Texas Tech | |
| UCF | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Utah | Utah | Utah | ||
| We Virginia | Cincinnati | Cincinnati 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Illinois | Illinois | Illinois | ||
| Indiana | Indiana | Indiana | ||
| Iowa | Iowa | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Iowa | |
| Maryland | Cincinnati | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| Michigan | Michigan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Michigan | |
| Michigan St | Cincinnati | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| Minnesota | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Nebraska | Nebraska | Nebraska | ||
| Northwestern | Cincinnati | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| Ohio St | Ohio St | Ohio St | ||
| Oregon | Oregon | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oregon | |
| Penn St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Purdue | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Rutgers | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| UCLA | Cincinnati | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| USC | USC | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | USC | |
| Washington | Washington | Washington | ||
| Wisconsin | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Florida Intl | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Jacksonv. St | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| Kennesaw St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Liberty | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| La Tech | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Middle Tenn | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| NM St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| SHouston St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| UTEP | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| We Kentucky | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| UMass | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| UConn | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Akron | Cincinnati | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| Ball St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Bowl. Green | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Buffalo | Cincinnati | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Cen Michigan | Cincinnati | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Ea Michigan | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Kent State | Cincinnati | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| MiamiOH | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| No Illinois | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Ohio | Cincinnati | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Cincinnati | |
| Toledo | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| We Michigan | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Air Force | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Boise State | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Colorado St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Fresno St | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| Hawaii | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Nevada | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| New Mexico | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| San Diego St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| San Jose St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| UNLV | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Utah St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Wyoming | Cincinnati | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| Oregon St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Wash St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Alabama | Alabama | Alabama | ||
| Arkansas | Arkansas | Arkansas | ||
| Auburn | Auburn | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Auburn | |
| Florida | Florida | Florida | ||
| Georgia | Georgia | Georgia | ||
| Kentucky | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| LSU | LSU | LSU | ||
| Missouri | Missouri | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Missouri | |
| Miss St | Miss St | Miss St | ||
| Oklahoma | Oklahoma | Oklahoma | ||
| Ole Miss | Ole Miss | Ole Miss | ||
| So Carolina | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Tennessee | Tennessee | Tennessee | ||
| Texas | Texas | Texas | ||
| Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | ||
| Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt | ||
| App St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Arkansas State | Cincinnati | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cincinnati | |
| Coastal Car | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Georgia So | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Georgia St | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| J Madison | J Madison | J Madison | ||
| Louisiana | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Marshall | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Old Dominion | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| So Miss | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| So Alabama | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Texas State | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| Troy | Cincinnati | Cincinnati | ||
| La-Monroe | Cincinnati | Cincinnati |
PowerWise = 88
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Nebraska ( 6- 3, 73.8) 17-20 -26.07 27.92 -3.93 1.06 -15.87
0 H Bowl. Green ( 3- 6, 58.1) 34-20 -41.75 12.24 -3.93 1.06 17.57
0 A Kansas ( 5- 4, 74.7) 37-34 -25.22 28.77 3.93 1.06 69.18
0 H Iowa St ( 4- 4, 78.2) 38-30 -21.71 32.28 -3.93 1.06 59.99
0 H UCF ( 3- 5, 66.9) 20-11 -33.03 20.96 -3.93 1.06 36.03
0 A Oklahoma St ( 2- 7, 61.7) 49-17 -38.24 15.75 3.93 1.06 41.63
0 H Baylor ( 4- 5, 71.2) 41-20 -28.70 25.29 -3.93 1.06 45.19
0 A Utah ( 7- 2, 91.9) 14-45 -8.01 45.98 3.93 1.06 -2.16
------
251.56
|
winning pts = 269.5783 losing points = -18.0228
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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